Levin, Emma, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Gabriele Villarini. 2026. “Large Climate Model Ensembles Reveal Underdispersion in Seasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Counts”. Monthly Weather Review.

Deng, Zifeng, Gabriele Villarini, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Zhaoli Wang. 2026. “Global Stalled Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate”. Nature Communications. doi:10.1038/s41467-026-71320-3.

Yang, Yixin, Long Yang, Gabriele Villarini, Fang Zhao, Danqing Huang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Qiang Wang, Yida Sun, and Fuqiang Tian. 2025. “Synchronization of Global Peak River Discharge since the 1980s”. Nature Climate Change 15: 1084-90.

Kim, Hanbeen, Gabriele Villarini, Wenchang Yang, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2025. “Global Response of Floods to Tropical Explosive Volcanic Eruptions”. Nature Geoscience. doi:10.1038/s41561-025-01782-5.

Villarini, Gabriele, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Enrico Scoccimarro. 2025. Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective. Elsevier. Referenced from shop.elsevier.com: Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2020. “The East Asian Subtropical Jet Stream and Atlantic Tropical Cyclones”. Geophysical Research Letters 47: e2020GL088851. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088851.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., Christopher Landsea, Wei Zhang, Gabriele Villarini, and Thomas R. Knutson. 2021. “Changes in Atlantic Major Hurricane Frequency since the Late-19th Century”. Nature Communications 12. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-24268-5.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, and Liwei Jia. 2018. “Dominant Role of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Recent Decadal Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity”. Geophysical Research Letters 45: 354–362. doi:10.1002/2017gl076397.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Hiroyuki Murakami. 2018. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones”. Climate Dynamics 50: 991–1006. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3656-3.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and James A. Smith. 2018. “Urbanization Exacerbated the Rainfall and Flooding Caused by Hurricane Harvey in Houston”. Nature 563: 384–388. doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0676-z.

Slater, Louise J., Gabriele Villarini, Allen Bradley, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2019. “A Dynamical Statistical Framework for Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting in an Agricultural Watershed”. Climate Dynamics 53: 7429–7445. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., Thomas L. Delworth, Hiroyuki Murakami, Seth D. Underwood, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Fanrong Zeng, Wei Zhang, et al. 2019. “Tropical Cyclone Sensitivities to CO2 Doubling: Roles of Atmospheric Resolution, Synoptic Variability and Background Climate Changes”. Climate Dynamics 53: 5999–6033. doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04913-y.

Villarini, Gabriele, Beda Luitel, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Joyee Ghosh. 2019. “Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasting of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity”. Climate Dynamics 53: 7461–7477. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3369-z.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2019. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia: Potential for Seasonal Predictions”. Climate Dynamics 53: 7185–7199. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3968-3.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Hiroyuki Murakami. 2019. “Rainfall from Tropical Cyclones: High-Resolution Simulations and Seasonal Forecasts”. Climate Dynamics 52: 5269–5289. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4446-2.

Luitel, Beda, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2018. “Verification of the Skill of Numerical Weather Prediction Models in Forecasting Rainfall from US Landfalling Tropical Cyclones”. Journal of Hydrology 556: 1026–1037. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.09.019.

Gaona, Manuel F. Rios, Gabriele Villarini, Wei Zhang, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2018. “The Added Value of IMERG in Characterizing Rainfall in Tropical Cyclones”. Atmospheric Research 209: 95–102. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.03.008.

Murakami, Hiroyuki, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Wei Zhang, and Richard Gudgel. 2016. “Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of North Atlantic and US Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the High-Resolution GFDL FLOR Coupled Model”. Monthly Weather Review 144: 2101–2123. doi:10.1175/mwr-d-15-0308.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Thomas Delworth, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Anthony Rosati, Seth Underwood, et al. 2016. “Improved Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Responses to ENSO in the Western North Pacific in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model*”. Journal of Climate 29: 1391–1415. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0475.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Karen Paffendorf, Rich Gudgel, Liwei Jia, Fanrong Zeng, and Xiaosong Yang. 2016. “INFLUENCES OF NATURAL VARIABILITY AND ANTHROPOGENIC FORCING ON THE EXTREME 2015 ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97: S131–S135. doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0146.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Gabriele Villarini, Hiroyuki Murakami, Thomas Delworth, Liwei Jia, Richard Gudgel, and Fanrong Zeng. 2016. “Simulated Connections Between ENSO and Tropical Cyclones Near Guam in a High-Resolution GFDL Coupled Climate Model: Implications for Seasonal Forecasting”. Journal of Climate 29: 8231–8248. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0126.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, and Richard Gudgel. 2016. “Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of Western North Pacific and East Asia Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the High-Resolution GFDL FLOR Coupled Model”. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8: 538–565. doi:10.1002/2015ms000607.

Khouakhi, Abdou, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2017. “Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Rainfall at the Global Scale”. Journal of Climate 30: 359–372. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0298.1.

Salvi, Kaustubh, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2017. “High Resolution Decadal Precipitation Predictions over the Continental United States for Impacts Assessment”. Journal of Hydrology 553: 559–573. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.043.

Salvi, Kaustubh, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Subimal Ghosh. 2017. “Decadal Temperature Predictions over the Continental United States: Analysis and Enhancement”. Climate Dynamics 49: 3587–3604. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3532-1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Gabriele Villarini, Hiroyuki Murakami, Richard Gudgel, and Xiaosong Yang. 2017. “Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of Western North Pacific and East Asia Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the GFDL FLOR Coupled Climate Model”. Journal of Climate 30: 2209–2232. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0487.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Gabriele Villarini, Hiroyuki Murakami, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, Liwei Jia, and Fanrong Zeng. 2017. “Modulation of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Atlantic Meridional Mode”. Climate Dynamics 48: 631–647. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3099-2.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Enrico Scoccimarro, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2017. “Stronger Influences of Increased CO2 on Subdaily Precipitation Extremes Than at the Daily Scale”. Geophysical Research Letters 44: 7464–7471. doi:10.1002/2017gl074024.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, Louise Slater, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Allen Bradley. 2017. “Improved ENSO Forecasting Using Bayesian Updating and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)”. Journal of Climate 30: 9007–9025. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-17-0073.1.

Zhang, Wei, Gabriele Villarini, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2017. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on June-August Precipitation in the Amazon River Basin”. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143: 1936–1945. doi:10.1002/qj.3053.

Aryal, Yog N., Gabriele Villarini, Wei Zhang, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2018. “Long Term Changes in Flooding and Heavy Rainfall Associated With North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Roles of the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Nino-Southern Oscillation”. Journal of Hydrology 559: 698–710. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.02.072.

Walsh, Kevin J. E., Suzana J. Camargo, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Anne Sophie Daloz, James Elsner, Kerry Emanuel, Michael Horn, et al. 2015. “HURRICANES AND CLIMATE The US CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96: 997–1017. doi:10.1175/bams-d-13-00242.1.

Murakami, Hiroyuki, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Richard Gudgel, Seth Underwood, Xiaosong Yang, Wei Zhang, and Shian-Jiann Lin. 2016. “Seasonal Forecasts of Major Hurricanes and Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a High-Resolution GFDL Coupled Climate Model”. Journal of Climate 29: 7977–7989. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0233.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2012. “North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): Statistical Modeling and Sensitivity to Sea Surface Temperature Changes”. Journal of Climate 25: 625–637. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-11-00146.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and James A. Smith. 2012. “US Landfalling and North Atlantic Hurricanes: Statistical Modeling of Their Frequencies and Ratios”. Monthly Weather Review 140: 44–65. doi:10.1175/mwr-d-11-00063.1.

Knutson, Thomas R., Joseph J. Sirutis, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Stephen Garner, Ming Zhao, Hyeong-Seog Kim, Morris Bender, Robert E. Tuleya, Isaac M. Held, and Gabriele Villarini. 2013. “Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based Scenarios”. Journal of Climate 26: 6591–6617. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00539.1.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., Rym Msadek, Whit Anderson, You-Soon Chang, Thomas Delworth, Keith Dixon, Rich Gudgel, et al. 2013. “Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations”. Journal of Climate 26: 5337–5357. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00464.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, James A. Smith, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2013. “Changing Frequency of Heavy Rainfall over the Central United States”. Journal of Climate 26: 351–357. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00043.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2013. “Multiseason Lead Forecast of the North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)”. Journal of Climate 26: 3631–3643. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00448.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2013. “Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity from CMIP5 Models”. Journal of Climate 26: 3231–3240. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00441.1.

Scoccimarro, Enrico, Silvio Gualdi, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Kevin Walsh, and Antonio Navarra. 2014. “Intense Precipitation Events Associated With Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in Response to a Warmer Climate and Increased CO2”. Journal of Climate 27: 4642–4654. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00065.1.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., Rym Msadek, Whit Anderson, You-Soon Chang, Thomas Delworth, Keith Dixon, Rich Gudgel, et al. 2014. “Reply to Comments on "Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations”. Journal of Climate 27: 490–492. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00381.1.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., and Gabriele Villarini. 2014. “Next Season S Hurricanes”. Science 343: 618–619. doi:10.1126/science.1247759.

Villarini, Gabriele, Radoslaw Goska, James A. Smith, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2014. “North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95: 1381–1388. doi:10.1175/bams-d-13-00060.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, David A. Lavers, Enrico Scoccimarro, Ming Zhao, Michael F. Wehner, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Thomas R. Knutson, and Kevin A. Reed. 2014. “Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global-Scale Forcings”. Journal of Climate 27: 4622–4641. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00780.1.

Knutson, Thomas R., Joseph J. Sirutis, Ming Zhao, Robert E. Tuleya, Morris Bender, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Gabriele Villarini, and Daniel Chavas. 2015. “Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5 RCP4.5 Scenarios”. Journal of Climate 28: 7203–7224. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0129.1.

Little, Christopher M., Radley M. Horton, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Gabriele Villarini. 2015. “Joint Projections of US East Coast Sea Level and Storm Surge”. Nature Climate Change 5: 1114–+. doi:10.1038/nclimate2801.

Villarini, Gabriele, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and James A. Smith. 2010. “Modeling the Dependence of Tropical Storm Counts in the North Atlantic Basin on Climate Indices”. Monthly Weather Review 138: 2681–2705. doi:10.1175/2010mwr3315.1.

Vecchi, Gabriel A., Ming Zhao, Hui Wang, Gabriele Villarini, Anthony Rosati, Arun Kumar, Isaac M. Held, and Richard Gudgel. 2011. “Statistical-Dynamical Predictions of Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity”. Monthly Weather Review 139: 1070–1082. doi:10.1175/2010mwr3499.1.

Villarini, Gabriele, James A. Smith, Mary Lynn Baeck, Timothy Marchok, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2011. “Characterization of Rainfall Distribution and Flooding Associated With US Landfalling Tropical Cyclones: Analyses of Hurricanes Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne (2004)”. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 116. doi:10.1029/2011jd016175.