Levin, Emma, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Gabriele Villarini. 2026. “Large Climate Model Ensembles Reveal Underdispersion in Seasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Counts”. Monthly Weather Review.

Pu, Tianjiao, Gabriele Villarini, Renato Amorim, Donghui Li, Sudershan Gangrande, Martha Durr, and Brandi Janssen. 2026. “Flood Responses to Climate Warming on Tribal Lands Using High-Resolution Hydrodynamic Modeling”. Geophysical Research Letters.

Deng, Zifeng, Gabriele Villarini, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Zhaoli Wang. 2026. “Global Stalled Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate”. Nature Communications 17. doi:10.1038/s41467-026-71320-3.

Kaiser, Samiul, Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf, Ceyda Polatel, Gabriele Villarini, Vasubandhu Misra, Tirusew Asefa, and Amir AghaKouchak. 2026. “Assessing Dominant Uncertainties in Future Precipitation Projections for a Hurricane-Prone Region”. Earth’s Future 14: e2025EF007680. doi:10.1029/2025EF007680.

Kim, Hanbeen, Gabriele Villarini, Renato Amorim, Norberto C Nadal-Caraballo, and Meredith L Carr. (2026) 2026. “Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Generator for Flood Hazard Assessment Along the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coasts”. Environmental Research Letters 21. IOP Publishing: 194027. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aeac6f.

Kim, Taereem, Chao Wang, Gabriele Villarini, James M. Done, David R. Johnson, and Andreas F. Prein. 2026. “Physics-Informed Bias Correction Using a Convolution-Based Multivariate Gaussian Process”. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 18: e2026MS005765. doi:10.1029/2026MS005765.

Kraft, Lily L., Gabriele Villarini, Brandi Janssen, Martha Durr, Hank Miller, Kameron Runnels, and Roger Trudell. 2026. “Tribal Nations’ Flood Exposure and the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program”. Npj Environmental Social Sciences 1. doi:10.1038/s44432-026-00020-6.

Li, Donghui, and Gabriele Villarini. 2026. “Parsimonious and Transferrable Parameterization of Reservoir Operations: A Modular Approach for Large-Scale Modeling”. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 18: e2025MS005180. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005180.

Li, Donghui, Alexander Michalek, and Gabriele Villarini. 2026. “Assessing the Global Performance of a Parsimonious Soil Temperature Model for Frozen Ground Prediction”. Journal of Hydrology 672: 135277. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135277.

Maduwantha, Pravin, Thomas Wahl, and Gabriele Villarini. (2026) 2026. “Atmospheric Rivers Drive Compound Flooding Potential Along the U.S. West Coast”. Environmental Research Letters 21. IOP Publishing: 194008. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aeabba.

Maduwantha, P., T. Wahl, S. Santamaria-Aguilar, R. Jane, S. Dangendorf, H. Kim, and G. Villarini. 2026. “Generating Boundary Conditions for Compound Flood Modeling in a Probabilistic Framework”. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 30: 401–420. doi:10.5194/hess-30-401-2026.

Michalek, A. T., G. Villarini, James M. Done, M. Wang, and P. Passalacqua. 2026. “Quantification of the Impact of Uncertainties in Flood Risk Projections Across the Delaware River Basin”. Earth S Future 14: e2025EF006306. doi:10.1029/2025EF006306.

Prein, Andreas F., Qinqin Kong, Gabriele Villarini, James M. Done, David R. Johnson, Chao Wang, and Matthew Huber. 2026. “Local Drivers in Accelerating North American Heat Stress”. Nature Communications 17. doi:10.1038/s41467-026-72795-w.

Saari, Connor, Jürgen Kurths, Gabriele Villarini, and Behzad Ghanbarian. 2026. “Synchronisation of Extreme Precipitation and Sea Surface Temperature Events in the Northern Hemisphere: A Complex Network Approach”. International Journal of Climatology 46 (3): e70218. doi:10.1002/joc.70218.

Treppiedi, Dario, Gabriele Villarini, Calogero Mattina, Antonio Francipane, and Leonardo Valerio Noto. 2026. “Unveiling Changes in the Seasonality of Extreme Precipitation Shows an Anticipation of Short-Duration Extremes”. Earth Systems and Environment. doi:10.1007/s41748-026-01178-4.

Villarini, Gabriele, Renato Amorim, and James A. Smith. 2026. “Rethinking Flood Risk: Tropical Cyclones, Orography, and the Upper Tail of Flood Peaks for the Appalachian Region of the United States”. Journal of Hydrology X 31: 100218. doi:10.1016/j.hydroa.2026.100218.

Yang, Yixin, Gabriele Villarini, and Long Yang. 2026. “Systematic Overestimation of Global Peak Runoff Synchronization in CMIP6 Models”. Geophysical Research Letters 53: e2026GL122766. doi:10.1029/2026GL122766.

Yang, Yixin, Gabriele Villarini, and Long Yang. 2026. “Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Hydrological Whiplash Events Across the Contiguous United States”. Earth’s Future 14: e2025EF008000. doi:10.1029/2025EF008000.

Adlouni, Salah El, Ghali Kabbaj, Hanbeen Kim, Gabriele Villarini, Conrad Wasko, and Yves Tramblay. 2025. “Climatic a Priori Information for the GEV Distribution’s Shape Parameter of Annual Maximum Flow Series”. Journal of Hydrology 661: 133789. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133789.

Amorim, Renato, Gabriele Villarini, Jeffrey Czajkowski, and James Smith. 2025. “Flooding from Hurricane Helene and Associated Impacts: A Historical Perspective”. Journal of Hydrology X 27: 100204. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hydroa.2025.100204.

Amorim, Renato, Gabriele Villarini, Hanbeen Kim, Robert A. Jane, and Thomas Wahl. 2025. “A Practitioner’s Approach to Process-Driven Modeling of Compound Rainfall and Storm Surge Extremes for Coastal Texas”. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 30: 04025025. doi:10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-6482.

Cho, Eunsaem, Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf, Gabriele Villarini, and Amir AghaKouchak. 2025. “Historical Changes in Overtopping Probability of Dams in the United States”. Nature Communications 16.

Deng, Zifeng, Gabriele Villarini, Zhaoli Wang, Xushu Wu, Zhaoyang Zeng, and Chengguang Lai. 2025. “Urbanization Intensifies Heavy Hourly Rainfall Preconditioned by Heatwaves”. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 130: e2024JD041184. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041184.

Deng, Zifeng, Gabriele Villarini, and Zhaoli Wang. (2025) 2025. “Climate Change Dominates over Urbanization in Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Patterns”. Communications Earth & Environment 6: 54. doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02048-z.

Ekolu, Job, Bastien Dieppois, Serigne Bassirou Diop, Ansoumana Bodian, Stefania Grimaldi, Peter Salamon, Gabriele Villarini, et al. 2025. “How Could Climate Change Affect the Magnitude, Duration and Frequency of Hydrological Droughts and Floods in West Africa During the 21st Century? A Storyline Approach”. Journal of Hydrology 660: 133482. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133482.

Guan, Yansong, Xihui Gu, Lunche Wang, Tianjun Zhou, Jun Xia, Dabang Jiang, Louise J. Slater, et al. 2025. “Excess Water Availability in Northern Mid-High Latitudes Contiguously Migrated from Ocean under Climate Change”. Science Advances 11: eadv0282. doi:10.1126/sciadv.adv0282.

Kim, Taereem, Gabriele Villarini, Andreas F. Prein, James Done, David R. Johnson, and Chao Wang. (2025) 2025. “Climate Change Reduces the Wind Chill Hazard across Alaska”. Communications Earth & Environment 6: 195. doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02193-5.

Kim, Taereem, Gabriele Villarini, James Done, Andreas F. Prein, David R. Johnson, and Chao Wang. (2025) 2025. “Ensemble Downscaled Climate Dataset for Alaska and Hawaii under Historical and Future Conditions”. Scientific Data 12.

Kim, Hanbeen, Gabriele Villarini, Wenchang Yang, and Gabriel A. Vecchi. 2025. “Global Response of Floods to Tropical Explosive Volcanic Eruptions”. Nature Geoscience. doi:10.1038/s41561-025-01782-5.

Kim, Hanbeen, Gabriele Villarini, and Sarah Maebius. 2025. “Changes in the Frequency of Flood Events Across the United States Detectable by the Middle of This Century”. Earth S Future 13: e2025EF006677. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006677.

Kraft, Lily L., Gabriele Villarini, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Dale Zimmerman, and Renato S. Amorim. 2025. “Developing a Spatial Regression Model Framework for Insured Flood Losses in Houston”. ASCE OPEN: Multidisciplinary Journal of Civil Engineering 3: 04025002. doi:10.1061/AOMJAH.AOENG-0044.

Lavers, David A., Gabriele Villarini, Hannah L. Cloke, Adrian Simmons, Nigel Roberts, Anna Lombardi, Samantha N. Burgess, and Florian Pappenberger. 2025. “How Bad Is the Rain? Applying the Extreme Rain Multiplier Globally and for Climate Monitoring Activities”. Meteorological Applications 32: e70031. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70031.

Liu, Yuan, Daniel B. Wright, Felipe Quintero, Alexander Michalek, Gabriele Villarini, and James A. Smith. 2025. “Increasing Flood Hazard in the Lower Mississippi River Due to Extreme Storm Clustering”. Science Advances 11: eadt1868. doi:10.1126/sciadv.adt1868.

Michalek, Alexander T., Gabriele Villarini, Andreas F. Prein, James M. Done, David R. Johnson, and Chao Wang. 2025. “Precipitation- and Temperature-Driven Future Changes to Flooding in Alaska”. Geophysical Research Letters 52: e2024GL112004. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112004.

Nanditha, J.S., Gabriele Villarini, and Philippe Naveau. 2025. “Assessing Future Changes in Daily Precipitation Extremes across the Contiguous United States With the Extended Generalized Pareto Distribution”. Journal of Hydrology 659: 133212. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133212.

Nanditha, J. S., Gabriele Villarini, Hanbeen Kim, and Philippe Naveau. 2025. “Causal Attribution of the Interannual Variability in Flood Peaks Through Bayesian Networks”. Water Resources Research 61: e2024WR039385. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR039385.

Nanditha, J.S., Gabriele Villarini, Shubhra Misra, and Kathleen White. (2025) 2025. “Regional Variability in the Projected Changes in Sub-Daily Precipitation IDF Curves across the Contiguous United States”. Environmental Research Letters 20. IOP Publishing: 094006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/adf07d.

Torelló-Sentelles, Herminia, Gabriele Villarini, Marika Koukoula, and Nadav Peleg. 2025. “Impacts of Urban Dynamics and Thermodynamics on Convective Rainfall across Different Urban Forms”. Urban Climate 62: 102499. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102499.

Torelló-Sentelles, Herminia, Marika Koukoula, Gabriele Villarini, Francesco Marra, and Nadav Peleg. 2025. “When Storms Slow Down: Urban Effects on Rainfall Accumulation and Flood Hazard”. Npj Natural Hazard 2 (106).

Treppiedi, Dario, Gabriele Villarini, Jens Bender, and Leonardo Valerio Noto. 2025. “Precipitation Extremes Projected to Increase and to Occur in Different Times of the Year”. Environmental Research Letters 20. IOP Publishing: 014014. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad984f.

Villarini, Gabriele, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Enrico Scoccimarro. 2025. Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective. Elsevier. Referenced from shop.elsevier.com: Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective.

Yang, Yixin, Long Yang, Gabriele Villarini, Fang Zhao, Danqing Huang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Qiang Wang, Yida Sun, and Fuqiang Tian. 2025. “Synchronization of Global Peak River Discharge since the 1980s”. Nature Climate Change 15: 1084-90.

Amorim, Renato, and Gabriele Villarini. 2024. “Assessing the Performance of Parametric and Non-Parametric Tests for Trend Detection in Partial Duration Time Series”. Journal of Flood Risk Management 17: e12957. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12957.

Amorim, Renato, and Gabriele Villarini. 2024. “Impacts of Urbanization on the Riverine Flooding in Major Cities Across the Eastern United States”. Hydrological Processes 38: e70027. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70027.

Deng, Zifeng, Xushu Wu, Gabriele Villarini, Zhaoli Wang, Zhaoyang Zeng, and Chengguang Lai. 2024. “Stronger Exacerbation of Extreme Rainfall at the Hourly Than Daily Scale by Urbanization in a Warming Climate”. Journal of Hydrology 633: 131025. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131025.

Ekolu, Job, Bastien Dieppois, Yves Tramblay, Gabriele Villarini, Louise J. Slater, Gil Mahé, Jean-Emmanuel Paturel, et al. 2024. “Variability in Flood Frequency in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Large-Scale Climate Modes of Variability and Their Future Impacts”. Journal of Hydrology 640: 131679. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131679.

Kim, Hanbeen, and Gabriele Villarini. 2024. “Higher Emissions Scenarios Lead to More Extreme Flooding in the United States”. Nature Communications 15. doi:10.1038/s41467-023-44415-4.

Kim, Hanbeen, and Gabriele Villarini. 2024. “Floods across the Eastern United States Are Projected to Last Longer”. Npj Natural Hazard 1. doi:10.1038/s44304-024-00021-y.

Kim, Hanbeen, Gabriele Villarini, Conrad Wasko, and Yves Tramblay. 2024. “Changes in the Climate System Dominate Inter-Annual Variability in Flooding Across the Globe”. Geophysical Research Letters 51: e2023GL107480. doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107480.

Kim, Taereem, and Gabriele Villarini. 2024. “Projected Changes in Daily Precipitation, Temperature and Wet-Bulb Temperature across Arizona Using Statistically Downscaled CMIP6 Climate Models”. International Journal of Climatology 44: 1994-2010. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8436.