Evaluation of Gridded Data Sets for Representing Precipitation Event Properties Across 20 U.S. Gulf Coast Locations
Publication Year
2026
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Abstract The skill of gridded sub-daily precipitation products to represent rainfall event properties remains uncertain. Here, we evaluate four gauge-influenced (AORC, MRMS, MSWEP, and Stage IV) and four gauge-independent (PERSIANN, IMERG, ERA5, and MERRA2) products using 128,141 events across 20 U.S. Gulf Coast locations during 2015–2024. We assess event intensity (minimum, average, and maximum), duration, and volume. Rainfall volume is generally represented better than intensity and duration, particularly for moderate and major events, partly because of compensation between underestimated intensity and overestimated duration. MRMS and Stage IV best reproduce average and maximum intensities among gauge-influenced products, while PERSIANN performs best among gauge-independent products, suggesting potential value for intensity estimation where gauges are sparse. Minimum intensity is poorly represented by most products, highlighting difficulty in capturing weak intermittent rainfall. Overall, accurate event volume can mask distorted event structure, highlighting the importance of evaluating various event properties when selecting gridded precipitation products.
Keywords
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
53
Pages
e2026GL125547